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Old 10-27-2020, 01:30 PM   #61
Craizie
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Originally Posted by Strychnine View Post
That's how survey statistics works though. Taking a survey of everyone is just called and voting that's next week.


Confidence interval = margin of error (this is the +/- on the results)
Confidence level = how "sure" you can be of the results (this tells you how often the respondent's answer will fall within the interval)
They had +/- interval of 3.22% in their results.

Take that, and do the math with a 95% confidence level, and they actually only needed to survey 926 out of the ~17,000,000 registered voters in Texas.


rough numbers
I'm sure what you are saying is right, but the results are going to be way off.
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Old 10-27-2020, 01:43 PM   #62
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I'm sure what you are saying is right, but the results are going to be way off.
Oh, I'm not saying I agree with the study they did. There's no info on the methodology, questions asked, etc - just results, and we know how accurate the polls were last time.


But from a pure math standpoint their sample size was spot-on.
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Old 10-27-2020, 04:20 PM   #63
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Originally Posted by Strychnine View Post
Oh, I'm not saying I agree with the study they did. There's no info on the methodology, questions asked, etc - just results, and we know how accurate the polls were last time.


But from a pure math standpoint their sample size was spot-on.
This is correct, but I often don't think other items are factored that should be. For example, if you survey 1K people from Austin/Dallas/other liberal area, you'll get skewed results. Likewise, I went to my deer lease south of Abilene this past weekend. Survey 1K people out that way, and you get an entirely different result. Origin of the samples matter.
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Old 10-27-2020, 05:26 PM   #64
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The wolves herding the dumb fucking sheep.
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Old 10-27-2020, 07:49 PM   #65
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The thing is about that last video that I am confused about. If she is working for a Rep candidate, why is she getting everyone to vote straight Dem?

https://ballotpedia.org/Mauro_Garza
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Old 10-27-2020, 09:09 PM   #66
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The thing is about that last video that I am confused about. If she is working for a Rep candidate, why is she getting everyone to vote straight Dem?

https://ballotpedia.org/Mauro_Garza
Friend of my enemy.... Dems have no morals. She’d do anything including work for an R to get her hands on ballots. And how many wacko progressives are posing as Rs or conservative dems to get votes? The end justifies the means for these types. Ever wonder how Biden can lie so easily?
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Old 10-28-2020, 05:10 PM   #67
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New video out today in other thread. She is working for RINOS for Biden and some Ds who ran as Rs to get elected in TX.
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Old 10-28-2020, 07:49 PM   #68
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New video out today in other thread. She is working for RINOS for Biden and some Ds who ran as Rs to get elected in TX.
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Not a good idea to go Tim 'The Toolman' Taylor on the power phallus.

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Old 10-29-2020, 01:52 AM   #69
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Something helpful to know is that there really are scant few polls in the U.S that are even worth looking at. Most of them are biased or heavily flawed, like that one.
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